FW 380 - FALL 1998

KEY FOR HOMEWORK SET 4

POPULATION GROWTH

1. Facts: N0 = 400

Nt = 200

r = -0.14

t = (lnNt-lnN0)/r

t = (ln200-ln400)/r

t = (5.3-6.0)/-0.14

t = 5 years

2. Facts: r = -0.15

N0 = 100 birds

Nt = 1 bird

Nt = N0ert

ln Nt = ln(N0ert)

ln Nt = ln N0 (rt)

ln Nt – ln N0 = rt

t = (ln Nt – ln N0)/r

t = [ln(1) – ln(100)]/ -0.15

t = 30.7 Birds will go extinct in 31 years.

 

3. Facts: r = (ln Nt – ln N0)/t

Nt =5

N0 =1

T = 7

r = (ln5-ln1)/7

r = (1.6-0)/7

r = 0.23 daily growth rate

 

  1. Facts: see equation in Problem 2
  2. t = 30

    Nt = N0ert

    Nt = 1e(0.23)(30)

    Nt = 992.28

     

  3. use Nt = N0ert to generate N at each Saturday in June and the first two in July

Sunday, June 1

1.0

Saturday, June 7

5.0

Saturday, June 14

25.0

Saturday, June 21

125.2

Saturday, June 28

626.4

Saturday, July 5

3133.8

Saturday, July 12

15677.8

 

 

This population is increasing geometrically. The slope at any given point is dN/dT = rN. The rate of increase is dependent on population size.

6.

N

dN/dt=rN

1.0

0.23

5.0

1.2

25.0

5.8

125.2

28.8

626.4

144.1

3133.8

720.8

15677.8

3605.9

 

 

 

7.

ln(N)

0

1.6

3.2

4.8

6.4

8.1

9.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8. Facts: N0 = 6

K = 35

r = 0.6

t = 1 and 2

Nt = K/1+be-rt

b = (K- N0)/ N0

b = (35-6)/6

b = 4.83

 

Nt = K/1+be-rt

N1year = 35/(1+(4.83)e-(0.6)(1))

N1year = 9.59 wolves

N2years = 35/(1+(4.83)e-(0.6)(2))

N2years = 14.26 wolves

 

9. The initially high population of algae will drop after the introduction and increase in grass carp population. The grass carp population will rise sharply then decrease sharply once they eliminate most of their food supply. This is one example. There are multiple correct answers.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Questions 10-12 apply to the following population data on natality and fecundity rates for a population of moose.

Density Annual birth rate (b) Annual death rate (d)

5 0.9 0.1

10 0.8 0.2

15 0.7 0.3

20 0.6 0.4

25 0.5 0.5

30 0.4 0.6

35 0.3 0.7

40 0.2 0.8

10. Natality rate (b) is density dependent; as density increases, natality rate decreases. Mortality rate (d) is density dependent; as density increases, mortality rate increases.

11. Carrying capacity (K) is met when birth rate (b) = death rate (d). b = d at density 25; thus, k = 25 moose. See graph.

12. r = b-d

Density

r

5

0.8

10

0.6

15

0.4

20

0.2

25

0.0

30

-0.2

35

-0.4

40

-0.6

You can see that r is a decreasing linear function of moose density.

13. Nt = N0ert

ln Nt = ln(N0ert)

ln Nt = ln N0+(rt)

ln Nt – ln N0 = rt

and because loge and ln are both notations to indicate "natural log"

r = (logeNt - logeN0)/t